Vol. II, No. 52
Covering 2 December - 15 December 2024
Monday, December 16, 2024
Late edition · A Relentless publication
All the fortnight that mattered, in technology and in the world, read next to what we were building at the time.
SYRIA

The house of Assad falls in eleven days, and 50 years of dynasty end in a weekend

A regime that had survived a decade of civil war collapsed with astonishing speed. Rebels swept from Aleppo to Damascus in less than a fortnight; Bashar al-Assad fled to Moscow; and Syrians poured into the streets and the prisons, searching for the disappeared.

The Assad dynasty, which had ruled Syria with ferocious brutality for more than half a century, collapsed on December 8, eleven days after rebels launched the offensive that took Aleppo, as the opposition swept south through Hama and Homs and into Damascus itself against a regime army that simply melted away. Bashar al-Assad, who had killed hundreds of thousands of his own people to cling to power through a decade of civil war, fled in the night to Russia, and his rule, and his father's before it, ended not in a last stand but in a rout, the statues toppled, the palaces stormed, the presidential offices abandoned with the coffee still on the desks. The propping powers that had kept him standing, Russia and Iran, distracted and depleted by their own wars, did not come, and the structure that had seemed permanent proved, once the supports were pulled, to be hollow, and fell in a week.

The euphoria was immediate and the reckoning immediate with it. Syrians flooded the notorious prisons, above all Saydnaya, the "human slaughterhouse" where the regime had tortured and murdered the disappeared for decades, searching by torchlight for family members swallowed years ago, finding a handful alive and the evidence of countless dead. The rebel coalition that had won was led by a group with roots in jihadism, now promising pluralism and moderation, and the country's future, its unity, its minorities, its descent into fragmentation or its climb toward something better, hung entirely unresolved. But for a moment, one of the world's most durable and murderous tyrannies was simply gone, its victims free to weep in its emptied prisons, and a region long frozen in a rotten order lurched, unpredictably, toward something new.

SOUTH KOREA

A president declares martial law at midnight, and his own country ends it by dawn

South Korea, one of Asia's most vibrant democracies, was plunged into crisis on the night of December 3 when President Yoon Suk Yeol abruptly declared martial law, sending troops toward the National Assembly in a stunning throwback to the country's authoritarian past. It lasted about six hours. Lawmakers, some climbing walls to get past the soldiers, forced their way into the chamber and voted unanimously to lift the decree; citizens massed in the streets; and the military, crucially, declined to fire on its own people. Yoon backed down before dawn, and on December 14 the Assembly impeached him. The democracy had faced the oldest threat, a leader reaching for emergency powers, and had beaten it back in a single night, through the courage of legislators and crowds and soldiers who refused an unlawful order, a reminder that institutions hold only when enough people inside them decide, in the moment, to make them hold.

IN BRIEF

A killing and a disturbing cheer; a French collapse; a quantum leap

The killing of Brian Thompson, the chief executive of UnitedHealthcare, shot dead on a Manhattan street on December 4, produced a reaction that unsettled the country as much as the crime: an outpouring, online, of something between grim satisfaction and celebration, a torrent of long-suppressed rage at the American health-insurance industry directed at the murdered man and, days later, at the young suspect arrested for it, who became a folk antihero. France's government collapsed on December 4 in a no-confidence vote, deepening the political paralysis of a second major European democracy. And Google unveiled a quantum-computing chip it called Willow, claiming a breakthrough in the decades-long quest to build machines that could one day dwarf today's computers.

The Puzzle

Sudoku

Fill the grid so every row, every column, and every three-by-three box holds the digits one to nine.

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Your petals ·· ❀
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The Ledger
AI
Google's Willow quantum chip is a genuine milestone in a decades-long quest, though practical quantum computing remains years away; the AI model race, meanwhile, closes the year at full sprint. Two frontiers of computing advancing at once, both hungry for resources and unproven in profit.
Data centers & power
Quantum computing, if it ever matures, would bring its own extraordinary infrastructure and cooling demands, another line item in a computing future whose physical and energy requirements keep growing across every frontier at once.
Rates
The Fed is expected to cut again at its December meeting, but to signal a slower path in 2025 as Trump's inflationary agenda looms. The era of confident easing gives way to caution.
Real estate
US 30-year mortgage 6.60 percent (December 12). Elevated and range-bound; the market has made an uneasy peace with rates that are lower than the peak but far above the pandemic era.
Healthcare
The reaction to the UnitedHealthcare killing is the fortnight's most revealing datum, a measure of how thoroughly a core American institution has forfeited the public's belief in its legitimacy. A warning, in the ugliest possible form, of what lost legitimacy looks like.
What we called wrong
A rare fortnight that ran the argument both ways: Syria showed how fast propped power falls, South Korea how firmly real institutions hold when the people inside them refuse, in the moment, to let them go. Nothing to retract; the contrast is the whole lesson.
The Back Page

The prisons opened

When the Assad regime fell this fortnight, Syrians did not first go to the palaces. They went to the prisons. Above all to Saydnaya, north of Damascus, the place they called the human slaughterhouse, where for decades the regime had swallowed the people who crossed it, the protesters, the suspected dissidents, the relatives of the wanted, the unlucky, and where families had spent years, sometimes more than a decade, not knowing whether a vanished son or father or daughter was alive inside its walls or long dead in them. The rebels threw the gates open, and thousands of families poured in with torches and lists and photographs, calling names into the darkness, breaking through sealed doors in search of the rumoured underground cells, finding a scattering of survivors, blinking and skeletal, who had not known the regime had fallen, and finding, mostly, the evidence of the enormous dead, the records, the ropes, the crematorium. It was not the joy of liberation, exactly, that filled those hours; it was something more terrible and more human, the desperate hope of a mother that her disappeared child might be among the handful still breathing, colliding with the near-certainty that he was not. The tyranny's deepest crime was not only whom it killed but whom it made disappear, the not-knowing it inflicted on the living for years, and this fortnight, in the opened prisons, that particular horror met its end, replaced by the smaller mercy of a terrible certainty, as families found, at last, the names they had been calling into the dark for a decade. The regime is gone. What it did in those cells will take a generation to fully know, and longer to mourn.

The Fortnight's Fable

The Statue Everyone Held Up

In the square stood a statue admired for standing, it was said, by its own magnificence alone. In truth a thousand citizens each held a thin wire, out of sight, that no one thought worth mentioning. One evening a man let go his wire, reasoning that the others surely held; and his neighbour, seeing him free of it, did the same; and so on down the square, each certain of the rest, until the statue that had stood a hundred years by everyone's holding came down in a single afternoon that nobody could quite explain.

Moral: the things that stand by everyone's holding fall the instant everyone assumes that someone else is holding on.